Investigating the asymmetric effect of informal labor on value added tax revenues

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 department of Economics, university of Kurdistan

2 Department of Economics, University of Kurdistan

3 Department of Economics, university of kurdistan

4 Postdoctoral in Economic Sciences, University of Kurdistan

Abstract

In the value added tax system, the purchases of each company are announced to it by the seller company. Therefore, if a company declares the tax less than the limit, or does not pay the relevant tax, this tax will be transferred to the next buyer, for this reason, all buyers and sellers will be placed in a self-control system. And this makes all companies register in the value added tax system. But its income performance can be weakened in the case of informal labor conditions. Because the incomes from informal labor activities are hidden and not reported. Informal labor has a two-way effect on value added tax revenues, because just as informal labor has an effect on value added tax revenues, value added tax can also have an effect on informal labor. The purpose of this study is to investigate the asymmetric effect of informal labor on value added tax revenues in Iran's provinces using panel data in the years 2010 to 2018. The obtained results show that the relationship between informal labor and value added tax income is initially positive and after reaching a certain threshold level, the relationship becomes negative, which means that informal labor has a threshold point on value added tax income. Also, the results showed that the relationship between value added tax revenues and unemployment rate is negative and significant, and the relationship between value added tax revenues and population and GDP is positive and significant. Based on the obtained coefficients, the relationship between the value added tax of the previous period and the value added tax of thecurrent period is positive and significant. Also, the results show that the informal workforce is different in terms of size, and the effect on value added tax revenues in different provinces of Iran. An increase in the tax rate can generate less additional revenues than expected, and this is due to the mixed effect of informal labor, which results in a reduction of the VAT self-enforcement mechanism

Keywords

Main Subjects


Abdollah milani, M. & Akbarpour roshan, N.  (2013). “Tax Evasion from the Underground Economy in Iran”. Journal of Tax Research, 20(13), 141-168. [In Persian]. http://taxjournal.ir/article-1-71-en.html.
Albagli, E., Chovar, A., Luttini, E., Madeira, C., Naudon, A., & Tapia, M. (2023). Labor market flows: Evidence for Chile using microdata from administrative tax records. Latin American Journal of Central Banking, 4(4), 100102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2023.100102.
Aruoba, S. B. (2020) “Institutions, Tax Evasion, and Optimal Policy”. Journal Pre-Proof, 118, 212-229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.10.003
Bacchetta, M.; Ernst, E. & Bustamante, J. P. (2009). Globalizationand Informal Jobs in Developing Countries: A Joint Study of the International Labour Office and the Secretariat of the World Trade Organization. Switzerland: International Labour Organization and World Trade Organization. https://doi.org/10.30875/f801556b-en
Bordignon, M. & Zanardi, A. (1997). “Tax Evasion in Italy”. Giornale Degli Economisti e Annali Di Economia, 56 (3/4), 169-210. http://www.jstor.org/stable/23248315
Cagan, P. ( 1958). “The demand for currency relative to total money supply”. Journal of Political Economy, 66(4), 303-329. https://doi.org/10.1086/258056
Dell’Anno, R. & Davidescu, A. A. (2019). “Estimating shadow economy and tax evasion in Romania. A comparison by different estimation approaches”. Economic Analysis and Policy, 63(C) 130-149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2019.05.002
Dell’Anno, R., Halicioglu, F. (2010). An ARDL Model of Unrecorded and Recorded Economies in Turkey. Journal of Economic Studies, 37 (6), 627–646
Di Caro, P. & Sacchi, A. (2020). “The heterogeneous effects of labor informality on VAT revenues: Evidence on a developed country”. Journal of Macroeconomics, 63(C). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2020.103190
Elbahnasawy, N. G. (2021). “Can e-government limit the scope of the informal economy”. Journal World Development, 139-105341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105341.
Esteban-Pretel, J. & Sagiri-Kitao, A. (2021). "Labor Market Policies in a Dual Economy. Journal Labour Economics"68,101-956. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2020.101956.
Fareghbal khamene, M.; Ahmadi, K. & Rahmati, M. (2022). “Inequality of Intergovernmental Transfer of Value Added Taxes”. Journal of Planning and Budgeting, 27(1), 57-93. [In Persian]. http://dx.doi.org/10.52547/jpbud.27.1.57
Feld, L. P. & Schneider, F. (2010). “Survey on the Shadow Economy and Undeclared Earnings in OECD Countries”. German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, 11(2), 109-149. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0475.2010.00509.x
Giles, D.E.A., Tedds, L.M. (2002). Taxes and the Canadian Underground Economy. Canadian Tax Paper (106) Canadian Tax Foundation, Toronto.
Gutmann, P. M. ( 1977). “The subterranean   economy. Financ. Anal.”. J. 33, 26–28. https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v33.n6.26.
Julio César Leal Ordóñez(2013): Tax collection, the informal sector, and productivity Review of Economic Dynamics.
Horodnic, I.A.& Williams, C. (2019).” Institutional Asymmetry and the Acceptability of Undeclared Work” (January 31). SHADOWS Working Paper, 1. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3327379.
Karimi, M. Sh.; Delangizan, S. & Heidarian, R. (2017). “The Investigation of the Impact of Hidden Economy on Tax Revenues and Economic Growth (MIMIC Approach)”. quarterly journal of Fiscal and Economic Policies, 5(19), 55-80. [In Persian]. http://qjfep.ir/article-1-569-en.html
Lewis, P. (2005). Low pay or no pay?: economics of the minimum wage. Policy: A Journal of Public Policy and Ideas, 21(3), 14-20.
Kalecki, M. (2020). Money and real wages. El trimestre económico, 87(346), 527-541.
Keen, M. & Smith, S. (2006). “VAT Fraud and Evasion: What Do We Know and What Can Be Done?” National Tax Journal, 59, 861-893. https://doi.org/10.17310/ntj.2006.4.07
Maddah, M. & Farahati, M. (2019). “The Empirical Analysis of the Direct Effect of Unemployment on the Shadow Economy in Iran (Money Demand Approach)”. Journal of Economic Research (Tahghighat- E- Eghtesadi), 54(2), 419-441. https://doi.org/10.22059/jte.2019.71338
Motallebi, M.; Alizadeh, M. & Faraji, S. (2018). “Estimating Shadow Economy and Tax Evasion by Considering Behavioral Factors”. Journal of Applied Economics Studies in Iran, 7(27), 141-167. [In Persian]. https://doi.org/10.22084/aes.2018.16132.2633
Pomeranz, D. (2015). “No Taxation without Information: Deterrence and Self-Enforcement in the Value Added Tax”. American Economic Review, 105(8), 2539-2569. DOI: 10.1257/aer.20130393
Sameti, M., Izadi, A., & Fathi, S. (2021). Determining Effective Factors on Tax Evasion using the Method of Meta-Analysis Abstract. Stable Economy Journal, 2(2), 1-22. (In Persian). https://doi.org/10.22111/SEDJ.2021.38231.1113.
Saha, D., & Sakib, R. H. (2019). A Comparative Analysis between Value added Tax (VAT) in Bangladesh & Goods and Services Tax (GST) in India.
Schneider,       F. &     Enste, D. (2000). “Shadow economies around the world size, causes, and consequences”. IMF Working Paper, 00/26. https://ssrn.com/abstract=879376
Schneider, F., & Williams, C. (2013). The Shadow Economy. The Institute of Economic Affairs. Retrieved July, 26, 2016.
Song, M.; & Peng, L.; Shang, Y. & Zhao, X. (2022). “Green technology progress and total factor productivity of resource-based enterprises: A perspective of technical compensation of environmental regulation”. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 174(C). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121276
Tanzi, V., 1983. The Underground Economy in the United States: Annual Estimates, 1930-80. International Monetary Fund, Staff Papers 30, 283–305. https://doi.org/10.2307/3867001.