The Effects of Fiscal Policies on Industrial Development in Iran

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Master of Economics, Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, Economics and Entrepreneurship, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran.

2 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, Economics and Entrepreneurship, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran.

Abstract

Industrialization as an engine of economic growth is one of the basic strategies for economic growth and development. In fact, industrialization is known as the shortest way to end technical and economic backwardness in the shortest possible time, which has a function to increase production productivity and work efficiency. In the process of development, the share of the agricultural sector in the GDP will gradually decrease and the share of the industry will increase. The development of the industry as one of the sectors with economy of scale is one of the most important components of economic growth, for this reason, knowing the factors affecting the growth of the industry is of great importance. The present study investigates the effect of the government's financial policies on the growth of the industrial sector using the statistical evidence of Iran for the period of 1978-2020 and the ARDL approach. The results of the estimates show that industrialization in Iran's economy is a long-term process and short-term temporary policies will not be able to increase the share of industry in the economy. According to the evidence, in the short term, only the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on industrialization, but in the long term, the financial and support policies of the government and the exchange rate have a negative and significant effect on the growth of the industry, therefore increasing the attraction of foreign direct investment through diplomacy. Strong, creating economic stability in the financial markets and directing credits towards activities with added value and providing a comprehensive government program to improve the infrastructure are the most important policies proposed for this study.

Keywords


Abbasi, Gh. (2009). “Convergence between Financial Development and Industrial Production in Iran”. Journal of Economic Modeling, 3(7), 137-154. [In Persian].Amini, A, (2004). “Measurement and Analysis of the Factors Affecting the Total Factors Productivity in the Industry and Mining Sector”. Peik-e-Noor, 2(4), 47-69. [In Persian].
Bagehot, W. (1873). Lombard Street, Homewood, IL: Irwin.
Habibullah, M. S. & Eng, Y. K. (2006). “Does Financial Development Cause Economic Growth? A Panel Data Dynamic Analysis for the Asian Developing Countries”. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 11(4). 377-393.
Bakare-Aremu, T. A. & Osobase, A. O. (2015). “Effect of Fiscal and Monetary Policies on Industrial Sector Performance: Evidence from Nigeria”. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 6(17). 68-83.
Baradaran, A. & Zomorodian, Gh. (2017). “Examining the Effect of Shocks in Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Value Added of Industry and Mining Sector in Iran”. Journal of Investment Knowledge, 6(24), 117-138. [In Persian].Baradaran, V. & Mohammadi, S. (2016). “The Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Industry Sub Sectors Value Added: An Econometrics Approach“. Iranian Journal of Trade Studies, 20(78), 29-60. [In Persian].
Eze, O. R. & Ogiji, F. (2014). “Impact of Fiscal Policy on the Manufacturing Sector Output in Nigeria: An Error Correction Analysis”. British Journal of Business and Management Research, 1(2), 31-54.
Ezeaku, H. C.; Ibe, I. G.; Ugwuanyi, U. B.; Modebe, N. J. & Agbaeze, E. K. (2018). “Monetary Policy Transmission and Industrial Sector Growth: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria”. Sage Open, 8(2), 2158244018769369.
Fathi-aghababa, M.; Azizi, Kh. & Mahmoodzadeh, M. (2020). “The Impact of Bank Facilities in Different Areas of Economy on the Growth of the Added Values in Industry, Services, Agriculture, Building Construction and Housing”. Journal of Economic Modeling, 14(50), 77-102. [In Persian].Fahim yahyayi, F. & Flihi, N. (2003). “The Effects of Monetary and Financial Policies on the Industrial Sector in the Last 25 Years”. Economics Research, 3(8), 199-215. [In Persian].
Goldsmith, R. W. (1969). Financial Structure and Development, New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
Gui-Diby, S. L. & Renard, M. F. (2015). “Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and the Industrialization of African Countries”. World Development, 74, 43-57.
Haraguchi, N.; Martorano, B. & Sanfilippo, M. (2019). “What factors drive successful industrialization? Evidence and implications for developing countries”. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 49, 266-276.
Jarjarzadeh, A.; Farazmand, H. & Musavi tashari, M. (2013). “Investigating the Effect of the Development of Money Market and Capital Market on the Economic Growth of the Industrial Sector in Iran during the Period 1969-2008”. Sixth Conference on Developing of financing system in Iran. [In Persian].Jalayi esfandabadi, S. A. & Iran-manesh, M. (2021). “A Comparative Study of Monetary and Supply_ Side Policies Effects on Agriculture, Services, Industry and Mining Production in Iranian Economy”. Economic Growth and Development Research, 11(42), 59-80. [In Persian].
Kaldor, N. (1966). Causes of the Slow Rate of Economic Growth of the United Kingdom: An Inaugural Lecture, Cambridge University Press.
Kutu, A. A. & Ngalawa, H. (2017). “Monetary Policy and Industrial Output in the BRICS Countries: A Markov-switching Model”. Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, 17(2), 35-55.
McKinnon, P. (1973). Money and Capital in Economic Development, Washington DC: Brookings Institution.
Obamuyi, T. M.; Edun, A. T. & Kayode, O. F. (2012). Bank Lending, Economic Growth and the Performance of the Manufacturing Sector in Nigeria”. European Scientific Journal, 8(3), 19-36.
Olanipekun, A. O. & Saka, N. (2019). “Response of the Nigerian Construction Sector to Economic Shocks”. Construction Economics and Building, 19(2), 160-180.
Rezaei, M.; Hasani moghadam, R.; Motaghi, S; Farhang, A. & Sadeghi, F. (2020). “Monetary Policy and Industrial Sector Growth (Review of the Current Situation and Provide a Favorable Model)”. Economic Strategy, 9(33), 5-36. [In Persian].
Robinson, J. (1952). “The Model of an Expanding Economy”. The Economic Journal, 62(245), 42-53.
Samouel, B. & Aram, B. (2016). “The Determinants of Industrialization: Empirical Evidence for Africa”. European Scientific Journal, 12(10), 219-239.
Samsami, H. Amirjan. R. (2011). “The Effect of Banking Facilities on the Value-Added of the Industry and Mining Sector”. Journal of Economic Research and Policies, 19(59), 129-150. [In Persian].
Severe, S. (2016). “An Empirical Analysis of Bank Concentration and Monetary Policy Effectiveness”. Journal of Financial Economic Policy.
Shahbazi, K. & Karimzadeh, E. (2014). “Impacts of Monetary and Fiscal Policies on Value Added of Industrial Sector in Iran in Line with the General Policies of the Industrial Sector”. Journal of the Macro and Strategic Policies, 2(8), 93-110. [In Persian].Musavi, S. N. Mohammadi, H. & Akbari, S. M. R. (2011). “Impacts of Governments Fiscal Policies on Value Added of Agriculture and Industrial Sectors”. Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 2(8), 121-134. [In Persian].Naderan, E. (2004). “The Effect of Credit Policies on the Added Value of Iran's Industrial Sector”. Journal of Iran's Economic Essays, 1(1), 9-42. [In Persian].
Shobande, O. A. (2019). “Monetary Policy Spillovers through Industrial Growth in Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis”. Economics and Business, 33(1), 94-110.
Zara nejad, M.; Yusefi hajiabad, R. & Salehi, S. (2013). “Investigating the Role of the Financial System Performance on the Added Value of the Industrial Sector in Iran”. The Second National Conference on Ways to Improve Management, Accounting and Industrial Engineering Topics in the Organization. [In Persian].Zarei, M.; Jahangard, F. & Jahangard, M. (2015). “The Effect of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on the Added Value of the Industrial Sector: A Case Study of Iran”. 2-nd International Conference on Green Economics. [In Persian].